Merced, CA brief

Rule set version 1, status watch · covering 2026-09

5 findings fired for Merced, CA this run, against a typical home value of $413,645 in September 2026 and covered employment of 83,506 in 2026 Q1.

The full Merced, CA page, with the occupation mix and every section’s source.

Merced, CA: 5 findings, 1 at a watch level and 4 noted

  1. watchMerced, CA's typical home value is -0.3% against a year earlier, a watch level here: typical home value below a year ago (arithmetic on Zillow ZHVI, county and metro files; not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.

    Period 2026-09.
    Show the arithmetic
    • test: home.yoyPct = -0.2750350662979297 < 0

    arithmetic on Zillow ZHVI, county and metro files; not an official level

  2. noteMerced, CA's typical asking rent fell 0.5% from $2,070 in August 2026 to $2,059 in September 2026, on Zillow ZORI.

    Period 2026-09.
    Show the arithmetic
    • -0.5% = (2059.301036682616 - 2069.8220107034545) / 2069.8220107034545 × 100
    • 2059.301036682616 = Zillow ZORI, 2026-09
    • 2069.8220107034545 = Zillow ZORI, 2026-08

  3. noteThe next Unemployment rate (BLS Employment Situation, monthly) covering Merced, CA is due between 2026-10-30 and 2026-11-13, estimated from the publisher's past release pattern.

    Show the arithmetic
    • window = 2026-10-30 to 2026-11-13, estimated from the publisher's past release pattern

    estimated from the publisher's past release pattern; not an announced date

  4. noteThe next Zillow ZHVI typical home value (monthly) covering Merced, CA is due between 2026-11-14 and 2026-11-21, estimated from the publisher's past release pattern.

    Show the arithmetic
    • window = 2026-11-14 to 2026-11-21, estimated from the publisher's past release pattern

    estimated from the publisher's past release pattern; not an announced date

  5. noteThe next Zillow ZORI typical rent (monthly) covering Merced, CA is due between 2026-11-14 and 2026-11-21, estimated from the publisher's past release pattern.

    Show the arithmetic
    • window = 2026-11-14 to 2026-11-21, estimated from the publisher's past release pattern

    estimated from the publisher's past release pattern; not an announced date

Next release

BTS Border Crossing Entry Data (monthly), between 2026-10-10 and 2026-10-30 (approximate).

Sources #

  • publishedZillow Home Value Index (ZHVI)Zillow Researchopen the source
    Metro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv · period 2026-09 · retrieved 2026-10-19
  • publishedZillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI)Zillow Researchopen the source
    Metro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_month.csv · period 2026-09 · retrieved 2026-10-19
  • estimateQuarterly Census of Employment and WagesU.S. Bureau of Labor Statisticsopen the source
    · retrieved 2026-10-19 · jobs = sum of QCEW third-month employment across the 1 of 1 member counties BLS publishes. 83,506 = 83,506
  • publishedOccupational Employment and Wage StatisticsU.S. Bureau of Labor Statisticsopen the source
    MSA 32900, all occupations · period May 2025 · retrieved 2026-10-19
  • estimateZillow Home Value Index (ZHVI)Zillow Researchopen the source
    · retrieved 2026-10-19 · month-over-month percent change = (newest month − previous month) / |previous month| × 100, from Zillow's own published month columns
  • estimateZillow Home Value Index (ZHVI)Zillow Researchopen the source
    · retrieved 2026-10-19 · typical home value / (typical rent × 12); Zillow ZHVI over ZORI, same month
  • estimateZillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI)Zillow Researchopen the source
    · retrieved 2026-10-19 · month-over-month percent change = (newest month − previous month) / |previous month| × 100, from Zillow's own published month columns

Citations

  • Zillow Research. Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI). series Metro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv. period 2026-09. https://files.zillowstatic.com/research/public_csvs/zhvi/Metro_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv. accessed 2026-10-19.
  • Zillow Research. Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI). series Metro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_month.csv. period 2026-09. https://files.zillowstatic.com/research/public_csvs/zori/Metro_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_month.csv. accessed 2026-10-19.
  • U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages. https://www.bls.gov/cew/. accessed 2026-10-19. estimate computed by Embedding Atlas: jobs = sum of QCEW third-month employment across the 1 of 1 member counties BLS publishes. 83,506 = 83,506.
  • U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics. series MSA 32900, all occupations. period May 2025. https://www.bls.gov/oes/tables.htm. accessed 2026-10-19.
  • Zillow Research. Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI). https://www.zillow.com/research/data/. accessed 2026-10-19. estimate computed by Embedding Atlas: month-over-month percent change = (newest month − previous month) / |previous month| × 100, from Zillow's own published month columns.
  • Zillow Research. Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI). https://www.zillow.com/research/data/. accessed 2026-10-19. estimate computed by Embedding Atlas: typical home value / (typical rent × 12); Zillow ZHVI over ZORI, same month.
  • Zillow Research. Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI). https://www.zillow.com/research/data/. accessed 2026-10-19. estimate computed by Embedding Atlas: month-over-month percent change = (newest month − previous month) / |previous month| × 100, from Zillow's own published month columns.

What these numbers are not

  • The named indicators shown beside this brief are national or basin-level series, not measurements of Merced, CA; 30-year fixed mortgage rate (watch), Los Angeles + Long Beach container volume, annual (watch), Shanghai to Los Angeles container rate (watch) and WTI crude oil, spot (watch) are at a watch or alert level. They are context.

Page assembled 2026-10-19T18:42:30.655Z. Place identity tables pulled 2026-10-01.